Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.