Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for York City had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest York City win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Gateshead |
29.68% ( -0.07) | 23.41% ( -0.04) | 46.91% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 60.97% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.58% ( 0.13) | 40.41% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.21% ( 0.13) | 62.79% ( -0.13) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.9% ( 0.01) | 26.09% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.85% ( 0.02) | 61.14% ( -0.03) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.49% ( 0.09) | 17.5% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.99% ( 0.16) | 48.01% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.68% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.41% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.92% Total : 46.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | York City | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 54 |
3 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
> National League Full Table |