Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Halifax Town had a probability of 22.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.75%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Halifax Town win it was 1-0 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Halifax Town | Draw | Gateshead |
22.33% ( 0.04) | 24.26% ( 0.02) | 53.4% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 51.11% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.81% ( -0.04) | 50.19% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.85% ( -0.04) | 72.15% ( 0.04) |
Halifax Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.89% ( 0.01) | 37.11% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.1% ( 0.01) | 73.89% ( -0.01) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.27% ( -0.03) | 18.73% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.89% ( -0.06) | 50.1% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Halifax Town | Draw | Gateshead |
1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.58% 3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 22.33% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 38 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Barnet | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
4 | Gateshead | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Rochdale | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Eastleigh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 23 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Tamworth | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
18 | Fylde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
19 | Woking | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 16 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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