Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maidenhead United | Draw | Gateshead |
32.69% ( 0.47) | 23.71% ( 0.58) | 43.6% ( -1.05) |
Both teams to score 61.51% ( -1.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.61% ( -2.62) | 40.39% ( 2.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.24% ( -2.75) | 62.76% ( 2.75) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.78% ( -0.98) | 24.22% ( 0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.43% ( -1.42) | 58.57% ( 1.42) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.17% ( -1.48) | 18.83% ( 1.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.73% ( -2.52) | 50.27% ( 2.52) |
Score Analysis |
Maidenhead United | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.69% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.53) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.21) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.44% Total : 43.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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