Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Halifax Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
36.84% ( 1.82) | 26.4% ( 0.31) | 36.75% ( -2.13) |
Both teams to score 52.88% ( -0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.1% ( -1.21) | 51.89% ( 1.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.35% ( -1.05) | 73.65% ( 1.05) |
Halifax Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.74% ( 0.5) | 27.26% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.31% ( 0.65) | 62.68% ( -0.65) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.69% ( -1.76) | 27.31% ( 1.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.24% ( -2.34) | 62.75% ( 2.34) |
Score Analysis |
Halifax Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.84% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.17) Other @ 3% Total : 36.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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