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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Rochdale
National League | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Maidenhead United

Rochdale
1 - 0
Maidenhead

Rodney (38')
Keohane (35'), Gordon (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Rochdale and Maidenhead United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastleigh 1-4 Rochdale
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 4-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League

We said: Rochdale 2-1 Maidenhead United

Rochdale are carrying good momentum into this match and seem to have found some form in front of goal lately, scoring two or more goals in each of their last three games. Maidenhead's away record has been very poor over the last couple of months, and we feel that they will suffer a third consecutive defeat on the road in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rochdale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rochdale.

Result
RochdaleDrawMaidenhead United
51.81% (0.0020000000000024 0) 23.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 24.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 56.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)44.77% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.3% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.35% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)47.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.05% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 51.81%
    Maidenhead United 24.66%
    Draw 23.52%
RochdaleDrawMaidenhead United
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 51.81%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 24.66%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Maidenhead

Rochdale
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Maidenhead United
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Maidenhead
2-2
Rochdale
Smith (60'), Zimba (84')
De Havilland (66'), Asare (70'), Pettit (90+7')
Mitchell (29'), Sinclair (86')
Oduroh (90+8'), Rodney (90+2'), Keohane (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green271510245212455
2Barnet27166554302454
3York City25156449222751
4Gateshead27146750351548
5Oldham AthleticOldham24128442261644
6AltrinchamAltrincham26118743311241
7Solihull MoorsSolihull27125104538741
8Rochdale23123834211339
9Halifax TownHalifax2510962924539
10Sutton UnitedSutton2710893836238
11Eastleigh2791173735238
12Yeovil TownYeovil28108103331238
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2691073231137
14Southend UnitedSouthend268992930-133
15Tamworth2596102941-1233
16Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red258894034632
17Woking2779112838-1030
18Aldershot TownAldershot27611104046-629
19Braintree TownBraintree2776142638-1227
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2775153554-1926
21WealdstoneWealdstone25510103138-725
22Fylde2564153054-2422
23Boston UnitedBoston2537152143-2216
24Ebbsfleet2819182164-4312


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