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Aldershot Town
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Barnet
Braintree Town
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Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Rochdale
National League | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Maidenhead United

Rochdale
1 - 0
Maidenhead

Rodney (38')
Keohane (35'), Gordon (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Rochdale and Maidenhead United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastleigh 1-4 Rochdale
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 4-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League

We said: Rochdale 2-1 Maidenhead United

Rochdale are carrying good momentum into this match and seem to have found some form in front of goal lately, scoring two or more goals in each of their last three games. Maidenhead's away record has been very poor over the last couple of months, and we feel that they will suffer a third consecutive defeat on the road in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rochdale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rochdale.

Result
RochdaleDrawMaidenhead United
51.81% (0.0020000000000024 0) 23.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 24.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 56.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)44.77% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.3% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.35% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)47.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.05% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 51.81%
    Maidenhead United 24.66%
    Draw 23.52%
RochdaleDrawMaidenhead United
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 51.81%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 24.66%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Maidenhead

Rochdale
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Maidenhead United
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Maidenhead
2-2
Rochdale
Smith (60'), Zimba (84')
De Havilland (66'), Asare (70'), Pettit (90+7')
Mitchell (29'), Sinclair (86')
Oduroh (90+8'), Rodney (90+2'), Keohane (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet32207563313267
2York City30196559263363
3Forest Green RoversForest Green311711350252562
4Oldham AthleticOldham311511549321756
5Gateshead30157855371852
6Halifax TownHalifax3114983830851
7AltrinchamAltrincham301310750351549
8Rochdale27135939231644
9Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool32101483838044
10Southend UnitedSouthend311110103733443
11Solihull MoorsSolihull31126134745242
12Sutton UnitedSutton30119104038242
13Eastleigh30101194038241
14Yeovil TownYeovil31109123538-339
15Tamworth31109123649-1339
16Woking31811123244-1235
17Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red31810134444034
18Braintree TownBraintree3197153142-1134
19Aldershot TownAldershot29612114250-830
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead3086163657-2130
21WealdstoneWealdstone30611133447-1329
22Fylde3085173660-2429
23Boston UnitedBoston2848162445-2120
24Ebbsfleet32110212169-4813


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