Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.
Result | ||
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Maidenhead United |
47.14% ( 0.05) | 24.82% ( -0.07) | 28.04% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.99% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.22% ( 0.33) | 47.78% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.03% ( 0.31) | 69.97% ( -0.3) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.68% ( 0.15) | 20.32% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.3% ( 0.25) | 52.7% ( -0.25) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.02% ( 0.19) | 30.98% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.71% ( 0.22) | 67.29% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Maidenhead United |
1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.77% Total : 47.13% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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