Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 69.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 13.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Oxford City |
69.32% ( -0) | 17.52% | 13.16% |
Both teams to score 55.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.46% | 35.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.41% | 57.59% |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.75% ( 0) | 9.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.72% | 31.28% |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.94% | 39.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.22% ( 0) | 75.78% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Oxford City |
2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 8.6% 3-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 7.64% 4-0 @ 4.83% 4-1 @ 4.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.59% 5-0 @ 2.3% 5-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 2.14% 5-2 @ 1.02% 6-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.6% Total : 69.31% | 1-1 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 4.52% 0-0 @ 3.62% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.52% | 1-2 @ 3.8% 0-1 @ 3.4% 0-2 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.75% Total : 13.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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