Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 13.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Southend United in this match.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
68.86% ( 0.18) | 17.97% ( -0.12) | 13.17% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 53.6% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.27% ( 0.43) | 37.73% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.03% ( 0.46) | 59.97% ( -0.46) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.06% ( 0.16) | 9.94% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.11% ( 0.37) | 32.89% ( -0.37) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.52% ( 0.19) | 40.48% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.91% ( 0.17) | 77.09% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 8.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.86% Total : 68.85% | 1-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.97% | 1-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 13.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
> National League Full Table |