Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 66.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 0-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.