Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tamworth | Draw | Yeovil Town |
26.2% ( -0.02) | 24.43% ( 0.55) | 49.38% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 54.78% ( -1.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.64% ( -2.42) | 47.36% ( 2.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.42% ( -2.28) | 69.58% ( 2.29) |
Tamworth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.82% ( -1.3) | 32.19% ( 1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.33% ( -1.5) | 68.67% ( 1.51) |
Yeovil Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.78% ( -1.13) | 19.22% ( 1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.08% ( -1.91) | 50.93% ( 1.92) |
Score Analysis |
Tamworth | Draw | Yeovil Town |
1-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 26.2% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.65) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 5.24% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.1% Total : 49.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 31 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 30 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
22 | Fylde | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 18 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 44 | -29 | 9 |
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