MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 11:09:30| >> :120:55490:55490:
FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamb Ground
Macclesfield Town

Tamworth
4 - 2
Macclesfield

Tshikuna (31', 32'), Creaney (44'), Ryan McGlinchey (85')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Elliott (29'), Dawson (53')
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Tamworth and Macclesfield Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tamworth 2-1 Gateshead
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Macclesfield 6-1 Witton Albion
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macclesfield Town win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macclesfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
TamworthDrawMacclesfield Town
33.81% (-2.421 -2.42) 24.52% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 41.67% (2.484 2.48)
Both teams to score 58.96% (-0.254 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.11% (-0.125 -0.13)43.89% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.73% (-0.121 -0.12)66.27% (0.12100000000001 0.12)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (-1.424 -1.42)25.24% (1.423 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.01% (-1.999 -2)59.99% (2 2)
Macclesfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (1.138 1.14)21.14% (-1.139 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01% (1.743 1.74)53.99% (-1.744 -1.74)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 33.81%
    Macclesfield Town 41.67%
    Draw 24.52%
TamworthDrawMacclesfield Town
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.343 -0.34)
1-0 @ 7.35% (-0.268 -0.27)
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.405 -0.4)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.315 -0.32)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.291 -0.29)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 33.81%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.52%
1-2 @ 8.87% (0.288 0.29)
0-1 @ 8.29% (0.324 0.32)
0-2 @ 6.44% (0.461 0.46)
1-3 @ 4.6% (0.3 0.3)
0-3 @ 3.34% (0.343 0.34)
2-3 @ 3.16% (0.082 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.173 0.17)
0-4 @ 1.3% (0.172 0.17)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 41.67%

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