Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wealdstone in this match.