Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | York City |
32.13% ( -0.01) | 25.16% ( 0.17) | 42.71% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 56.15% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.71% ( -0.77) | 47.29% ( 0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.48% ( -0.72) | 69.52% ( 0.72) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.09% ( -0.38) | 27.91% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.47% ( -0.49) | 63.53% ( 0.48) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.9% ( -0.41) | 22.1% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.53% ( -0.62) | 55.47% ( 0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.13% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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