Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.