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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Azerbaijan national football team
Nations League | League C
Oct 14, 2024 at 5pm UK
Ədliyya stadionu
Slovakia national football team

Azerbaijan
1 - 3
Slovakia

Bayramov (38')
Madatov (45'), Aliyev (61')
Madatov (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mammadov (15' og.), Haraslin (75'), Duris (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Azerbaijan and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Estonia 3-1 Azerbaijan
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Nations League

Slovakia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Slovakia 2-2 Sweden
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Azerbaijan 0-2 Slovakia

 Azerbaijan boss Santos will have a plan in mind to stop Slovakia, but the visitors have so much talent throughout their side, and we are struggling to see a scenario which does not involve Slovakia securing all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.

Result
AzerbaijanDrawSlovakia
30.41% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 25.04% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 44.55% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 55.78% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.57% (-0.123 -0.12)47.43% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (-0.115 -0.11)69.64% (0.12 0.12)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)29.11% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.96% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)65.04% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.69% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)21.31% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74% (-0.157 -0.16)54.26% (0.163 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Azerbaijan 30.41%
    Slovakia 44.55%
    Draw 25.03%
AzerbaijanDrawSlovakia
1-0 @ 7.66% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.3% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.72% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.41%
1-1 @ 11.83% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 9.59% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 44.55%

How you voted: Azerbaijan vs Slovakia

Azerbaijan
12.1%
Draw
15.9%
Slovakia
72.0%
157
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2024 5pm
League C
Slovakia
2-0
Azerbaijan
Duda (23' pen.), Strelec (26')

Seydiyev (15'), Cafarquliyev (37'), Bayramov (42'), Aliyev (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 22, 2022 7.45pm
League C
Slovakia
1-2
Azerbaijan
Jirka (90+3' pen.)
Dadasov (44'), Haghverdi (90+5')
> Preview
Jun 10, 2022 5pm
League C
Azerbaijan
0-1
Slovakia

Richard (19')
Weiss (81')
De Marco (74'), Satka (87'), Bero (90+3'), Weiss (90+6')
> Preview
Nov 19, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
2-0
Azerbaijan
Bozenik (19'), Hamsik (86')
Haraslin (62'), Skriniar (82')

Silvestre (45'), Huseynov (45'), Khalilzada (88')
Jun 11, 2019 5pm
Group Stage
Azerbaijan
1-5
Slovakia
Sheydaev (29')
Krivotsyuk (70')
Lobotka (8'), Kucka (27'), Hamsik (30', 57'), Hancko (85')
rhs 2.0
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