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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Belgium national football team
Nations League | League A
Jun 3, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Netherlands national football team

Belgium
1 - 4
Netherlands

Batshuayi (90+3')
Mertens (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bergwijn (40'), Depay (51', 66'), Dumfries (62')
van Dijk (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Belgium and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Netherlands could line up in their UEFA Nations League clash with Belgium.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

Last Six:
Last Game: Belgium 6-1 Poland
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Wales vs. Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Netherlands

Last Six:
Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Netherlands vs. Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Belgium 1-1 Netherlands

 Both managers would likely accept a draw if it was offered ahead of kickoff, and we can see the pair sharing the points on Friday night. Belgium, arguably, have the superior talent, especially in the forward areas, but Netherlands will be strong at the back, and we are predicting a stalemate here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Belgium win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
BelgiumDrawNetherlands
37.46% (0.058 0.06) 24.7% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 37.85% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.87% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)44.23% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)66.61% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)23.38% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.65% (0.012999999999998 0.01)57.35% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)23.17% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.95% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)57.05% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 37.46%
    Netherlands 37.85%
    Draw 24.7%
BelgiumDrawNetherlands
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.87% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.72% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 37.46%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.42% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.92% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 37.85%

How you voted: Belgium vs Netherlands

Belgium
54.8%
Draw
26.3%
Netherlands
18.9%
334
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2018 7.45pm
Belgium
1-1
Netherlands
Mertens (5')
Boyata (82')
Groeneveld (27')
Vilhena (84'), Hateboer (90')
Nov 9, 2016 7.45pm
Netherlands
1-1
Belgium
Klaassen (38' pen.)
Klaassen (28'), Veltman (60')
Carrasco (82')
Vertonghen (36'), Carrasco (60')
rhs 2.0
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