MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 09:43:02| >> :120:56614:56614:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Belgium national football team
Nations League | League A
Jun 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Poland national football team

Belgium
6 - 1
Poland

Witsel (42'), De Bruyne (59'), Trossard (73', 80'), Dendoncker (83'), Openda (90+3')
Witsel (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lewandowski (28')
Krychowiak (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Nations League clash between Belgium and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

Last Six:
Last Game: Belgium 6-1 Poland
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Wales vs. Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Poland

Last Six:
Last Game: Belgium 6-1 Poland
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Netherlands vs. Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Belgium 2-1 Poland

 The footballing gods should not deliver a drab affair between two sides whose defining qualities lie in the final third, although losing top scorer Lukaku is a killer blow for Belgium. Poland would have expected a greater margin of victory against a makeshift Wales XI, though, and with Martinez issuing a rallying cry to his Belgium side to respond, we have faith in the world's second-ranked nation to get back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 55.5%. A win for Poland had a probability of 22.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Poland win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
BelgiumDrawPoland
55.5% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 21.7% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 22.8% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 60.28% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.65% (0.097000000000001 0.1)38.34% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.37% (0.104 0.1)60.63% (-0.106 -0.11)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22% (0.019000000000005 0.02)13.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.91% (0.039999999999999 0.04)41.09% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91% (0.096000000000004 0.1)30.09% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.78% (0.115 0.12)66.22% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 55.5%
    Poland 22.8%
    Draw 21.7%
BelgiumDrawPoland
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.22% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.88% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.92% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 55.5%
1-1 @ 9.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.7%
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.99% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 22.8%

How you voted: Belgium vs Poland

Belgium
58.0%
Draw
17.2%
Poland
24.8%
431
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!