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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Netherlands national football team
Nations League | League A
Jun 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Poland national football team

Netherlands
2 - 2
Poland

Klaassen (51'), Dumfries (54')
Berghuis (59'), Bergwijn (63'), de Jong (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cash (18'), Zielinski (49')
Krychowiak (16'), Bednarek (20'), Skorupski (63'), Zielinski (83'), Zurkowski (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Netherlands and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash with Poland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

Last Six:
Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Poland

Last Six:
Last Game: Belgium 6-1 Poland
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Netherlands 3-1 Poland

 While a change in shape and personnel should at least see Poland's defence tighten up a tad, the visitors' defensive record away from home makes for bleak reading, and a well-rested crop of Netherlands stars should have a glint in their eyes here. Poland always possess a goal threat going forwards, but Van Gaal has overseen a stellar period of rejuvenation at the Oranje helm and will expect to see his side move onto nine points with relative ease. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Poland had a probability of 17.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
NetherlandsDrawPoland
60.79% (0.059000000000005 0.06) 21.77%17.43% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 51.05% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.69% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)46.32% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.4% (-0.084 -0.08)68.6% (0.086999999999989 0.09)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.24% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)14.77% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.99% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)43.01% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.89% (-0.12 -0.12)40.11% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.25% (-0.11 -0.11)76.75% (0.11200000000001 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 60.78%
    Poland 17.43%
    Draw 21.77%
NetherlandsDrawPoland
1-0 @ 11.32% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.83% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.91% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.3% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.02% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 60.78%
1-1 @ 10.34%
0-0 @ 5.92% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 21.77%
0-1 @ 5.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 17.43%

How you voted: Netherlands vs Poland

Netherlands
72.6%
Draw
8.3%
Poland
19.1%
157
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
League A1
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Jozwiak (6')
Krychowiak (14'), Bednarek (77'), Jozwiak (82')
Depay (77' pen.), Wijnaldum (84')
Sep 4, 2020 7.45pm
League A1
Netherlands
1-0
Poland
Bergwijn (61')
de Roon (71'), Depay (74'), de Jong (89')

Piatek (21'), Klich (33'), Jozwiak (56'), Glik (63'), Bednarek (90+1')
Jun 1, 2016 7.45pm
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Jedrzejczyk (60')
Lewandowksi (63')
Janssen (33'), Wijnaldum (76')
Wijnaldum (63')
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