The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Nations League clash between Wales and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Wednesday's UEFA Nations League clash with Wales.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Wales vs. Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Netherlands vs. Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | -2 | 0 |
We said: Wales 1-3 Netherlands
The result of Wednesday's game should pale into insignificance for a much-changed Wales side after the weekend's exploits, but Page's second-string XI still performed admirably against Poland. Changes can also be expected on the visitors' end as they seek to end the Dragons' lengthy unbeaten run at home, but we can only picture Van Gaal's merciless side giving Wales a harsh reality check in Cardiff. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Wales had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Wales win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Netherlands |
23.44% ( -0.06) | 27.56% ( -0.03) | 48.99% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 43.21% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.83% ( 0.05) | 61.17% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.88% ( 0.04) | 81.12% ( -0.04) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.75% ( -0.03) | 42.25% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.35% ( -0.03) | 78.65% ( 0.03) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% ( 0.06) | 25.17% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.11% ( 0.09) | 59.89% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Wales 23.44%
Netherlands 48.97%
Draw 27.55%
| Wales | Draw | Netherlands |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.11% Total : 23.44% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 14.66% 0-2 @ 10.11% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 48.97% |
How you voted: Wales vs Netherlands
Wales
16.3%Draw
8.9%Netherlands
74.8%246
Form Guide
