Bulgaria

1 - 1

Belarus

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 35.16%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.98%) and 1-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (13.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.