Nations League | League C
Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Vasil Levski
Bulgaria1 - 1Belarus
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-1 Bulgaria
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: N. Ireland 2-0 Belarus
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Bulgaria 0-0 Belarus
The two teams played out a goalless draw in the reverse match in September, and we can see the same scoreline here, which would be enough for Bulgaria to finish second, while it would mean first for Northern Ireland even if they lose to Luxembourg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 35.16%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.98%) and 1-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (13.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bulgaria | Draw | Belarus |
33.51% ( -0.62) | 31.33% ( 0.09) | 35.16% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 38.76% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.95% ( -0.27) | 69.05% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.38% ( -0.18) | 86.62% ( 0.17) |
| Bulgaria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.67% ( -0.6) | 38.33% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.91% ( -0.58) | 75.08% ( 0.58) |
| Belarus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.84% ( 0.21) | 37.15% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.06% ( 0.21) | 73.94% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
Bulgaria 33.5%
Belarus 35.15%
Draw 31.33%
| Bulgaria | Draw | Belarus |
| 1-0 @ 13.65% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.63% Total : 33.5% | 0-0 @ 14.24% ( 0.15) 1-1 @ 13.52% 2-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.36% Total : 31.33% | 0-1 @ 14.09% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.15)1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 35.15% |
How you voted: Bulgaria vs Belarus
Bulgaria
67.0%Draw
29.1%Belarus
3.9%103
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 7.45pm
Feb 26, 2020 3pm
Jun 9, 2017 7.45pm
Nov 13, 2016 5pm
Form Guide
