Nations League | League C
Oct 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
Estonia0 - 3Sweden
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estonia 3-1 Azerbaijan
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Nations League
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Nations League
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Estonia 1-3 Sweden
Sweden have only won three of their 10 away Nations League matches, but we still believe that they will take three points from Monday's fixture, having won each of their previous five meetings with Estonia, including a 5-0 victory in their most recent away encounter in September 2023. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 54.52%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Estonia win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estonia | Draw | Sweden |
23.38% ( 0.26) | 22.1% ( 0.34) | 54.52% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 59.61% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
