We said: North Macedonia 1-0 Faroe Islands
North Macedonia have taken control of this group and they are unbeaten in their last six fixtures on home soil. The Faroes have put themselves in a good position to reach the playoffs, but historically they have struggled away from home.
Therefore, we are going with a narrow 1-0 win for the hosts, which could hinder the Faroe Islands' promotion hopes if results elsewhere go against them.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.87%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for North Macedonia in this match.
1.48) 
-0.73) 
