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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Montenegro national football team
Nations League | League B
Nov 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Kraj Bistrice
Turkey national football team

Montenegro
3 - 1
Turkey

Krstovic (29', 45', 73')
Jankovic (22'), Sipcic (42'), Krstovic (62'), Loncar (90+2'), Nikic (90+4'), Tuci (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Yildiz (37')
Yokuslu (46'), Akturkoglu (62'), Guler (80'), Demiral (80'), Montella (80'), Yilmaz (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Montenegro and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Montenegro 0-2 Iceland
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Nations League

Turkey

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Turkey 0-0 Wales
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Montenegro 0-3 Turkey

 As toothless as Turkey were up front against Wales, Montella's men should have no trouble breaking down a permeable Montenegro backline, especially one without their two first-choice full-backs. The return of Jovetic should not inspire a change in attacking fortunes for the hosts either, and Turkey therefore have our vote to seal promotion to League A in style. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
MontenegroDrawTurkey
32.67% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 26.5% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 40.82% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.18% (-0.226 -0.23)52.81% (0.224 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (-0.192 -0.19)74.44% (0.191 0.19)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)30.29% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (-0.127 -0.13)66.47% (0.125 0.13)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)25.48% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (-0.191 -0.19)60.32% (0.189 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Montenegro 32.67%
    Turkey 40.82%
    Draw 26.5%
MontenegroDrawTurkey
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.055 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.015999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 32.67%
1-1 @ 12.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 10.55% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40.82%

How you voted: Montenegro vs Turkey

Montenegro
7.6%
Draw
7.6%
Turkey
84.8%
145
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 7.45pm
League B
Turkey
1-0
Montenegro
Kahveci (69')
Guler (65'), Kokcu (90+3'), Ayhan (90+2')

Brnovic (89'), Osmajic (90+3')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Montenegro
1-2
Turkey
Beciraj (4')
Osmajic (62'), Vukotic (86')
Akturkoglu (22'), Kokcu (60')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Turkey
2-2
Montenegro
Under (9'), Yazici (30')
Under (37'), Calhanoglu (48'), Celik (77'), Yilmaz (90+2')
Marusic (40'), Radunovic (90+7')
Bozovic (56'), Durdevic (80'), Vujacic (86'), Savic (87')
> Preview
Mar 27, 2018 6.05pm
International Friendlies
Montenegro
2-2
Turkey
Ivanic (45'), Mugosa (87')
Tomasevic (49'), Simic (59')
Under (11'), Yokuslu (24', 23')
Ayhan (16')
rhs 2.0
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