Nations League | League A
Nov 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Switzerland1 - 1Serbia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Switzerland 2-2 Denmark
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Serbia | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 4 | -7 | 1 |
We said: Switzerland 2-2 Serbia
Though Switzerland defeated Serbia at both of the last two World Cups, they lost when these nations most recently met and are enduring an injury crisis. While the Eagles do not travel well, their front line should cause a makeshift Swiss defence plenty of problems on Friday, when a draw would consign the home side to relegation. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Switzerland | Draw | Serbia |
47.51% ( 0.12) | 25.74% ( -0.03) | 26.74% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.09% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.58% ( 0.04) | 52.41% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.9% ( 0.04) | 74.09% ( -0.04) |
| Switzerland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( 0.07) | 22.06% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.59% ( 0.11) | 55.4% ( -0.12) |
| Serbia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.56% ( -0.06) | 34.44% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.85% ( -0.06) | 71.15% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Switzerland 47.51%
Serbia 26.74%
Draw 25.75%
| Switzerland | Draw | Serbia |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 47.51% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.74% |
How you voted: Switzerland vs Serbia
Switzerland
51.6%Draw
26.6%Serbia
21.7%184
