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World Cup
Serbia national football team
World Cup | Group Stage
Dec 2, 2022 at 7pm UK
 
Switzerland national football team

Serbia
2 - 3
Switzerland

Mitrovic (26'), Vlahovic (35')
Milinkovic-Savic (47'), Pavlovic (56'), Rajkovic (66'), Gudelj (81'), Mitrovic (82'), Milenkovic (90+5'), Lukic (90+10')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Shaqiri (20'), Embolo (44'), Freuler (48')
Widmer (15'), Vargas (34'), Xhaka (90+5'), Schar (90+9')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Xherdan Shaqiri, Breel Embolo and Remo Freuler helped Switzerland beat Serbia in a five-goal thriller, which sets up a last-16 tie with Portugal.

Team News

Serbia head coach Dragan Stojkovic names Juventus striker Dusan Vlahovic in his starting lineup for their final World Cup 2022 Group G clash against Switzerland this evening.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup clash between Serbia and Switzerland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Switzerland could line up for Friday's World Cup clash with Serbia at Stadium 974.

Form, Standings, Stats

Serbia

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Cameroon 3-3 Serbia
Monday, November 28 at 10am in World Cup

Switzerland

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Brazil 1-0 Switzerland
Monday, November 28 at 4pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.

Result
SerbiaDrawSwitzerland
39.19% (-1.161 -1.16) 24.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 36% (1.129 1.13)
Both teams to score 58.37% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15% (0.021000000000001 0.02)44.84% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.8% (0.020999999999994 0.02)67.2% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24% (-0.563 -0.56)22.75% (0.561 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.56% (-0.841 -0.84)56.44% (0.84 0.84)
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56% (0.646 0.65)24.44% (-0.648 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.13% (0.901 0.9)58.87% (-0.903 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Serbia 39.19%
    Switzerland 36%
    Draw 24.81%
SerbiaDrawSwitzerland
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.215 -0.22)
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 39.19%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.81%
1-2 @ 8.17% (0.158 0.16)
0-1 @ 7.84% (0.138 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.197 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.84% (0.144 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.139 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.075 0.08)
2-4 @ 1% (0.04 0.04)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 36%

How you voted: Serbia vs Switzerland

Serbia
38.6%
Draw
20.6%
Switzerland
40.8%
824
Head to Head
Jun 22, 2018 7pm
Group E
Serbia
1-2
Switzerland
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