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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Turkey national football team
Nations League | League C
Jun 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Lithuania national football team

Turkey
2 - 0
Lithuania

Ayhan (37'), Calhanoglu (54' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baravykas (31'), Cernych (49'), Armanavicius (53'), Milasius (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Turkey and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

Last Six:
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-2 Turkey
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Lithuania

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Faroe Islands 2-1 Lithuania
Saturday, June 11 at 5pm in Nations League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Turkey 3-0 Lithuania

 While Lithuania will be looking to arrest their slump, next up is the stern test of taking on a rampant Turkey side who have hit their stride at the tournament. Looking at the gulf in quality and experience between the sides, and their contrasting form, we are backing the hosts to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
TurkeyDrawLithuania
57.74% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 23.64% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 18.62% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.53% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.85% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)52.14% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.13% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)73.86% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)17.84% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.41% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)48.58% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.85% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)42.14% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.44% (-0.067 -0.07)78.56% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 57.73%
    Lithuania 18.62%
    Draw 23.63%
TurkeyDrawLithuania
1-0 @ 12.95% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 57.73%
1-1 @ 11.19%
0-0 @ 7.52% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 18.62%

How you voted: Turkey vs Lithuania

Turkey
88.4%
Draw
8.7%
Lithuania
2.9%
69
Head to Head
Jun 7, 2022 7.45pm
League C1
Lithuania
0-6
Turkey

Golubickas (9'), Klimavicius (46'), Sirvys (55')
Sinik (2', 14'), Dursun (56' pen., 81'), Akgun (89'), Dervisoglu (90+1')
Calhanoglu (33')
rhs 2.0
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