Nations League | League B
Nov 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Wales4 - 1Iceland
Cullen (32', 45+1'), Johnson (65'), Wilson (79')
Bellamy (59'), James (68'), Johnson (72'), Thomas (88')
Bellamy (59'), James (68'), Johnson (72'), Thomas (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gudjohnsen (7')
Sampsted (30'), Fridriksson (66'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (72'), Ingvi Traustason (72'), Bergmann Johannesson (84')
Sampsted (30'), Fridriksson (66'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (72'), Ingvi Traustason (72'), Bergmann Johannesson (84')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Turkey 0-0 Wales
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Nations League
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Nations League
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wales | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Wales 1-0 Iceland
Wales have not been pulling up trees on the attacking front over the past six months, but Bellamy's men should back themselves to keep Iceland at arm's length in Cardiff after their dogged defensive display in Turkey. Fatigue on both sides after respective long journeys could give rise to a drab, low-scoring affair, but the Dragons have our backing to come up with the crucial moment and ensure at least a second-placed finish in the section. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 64.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 14.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Iceland |
64.17% ( 0.01) | 20.9% ( -0.02) | 14.93% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.34% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.91% ( 0.12) | 47.09% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.67% ( 0.11) | 69.33% ( -0.11) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.03% ( 0.04) | 13.96% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.54% ( 0.08) | 41.45% ( -0.08) |
| Iceland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.18% ( 0.09) | 43.81% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.03% ( 0.08) | 79.97% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Wales 64.16%
Iceland 14.93%
Draw 20.9%
| Wales | Draw | Iceland |
| 1-0 @ 12.04% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.78% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.83% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 64.16% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.9% | 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.08% 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 14.93% |
How you voted: Wales vs Iceland
Wales
73.4%Draw
17.8%Iceland
8.9%169
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 7.45pm
League B
Iceland
2-2
Wales
Mar 5, 2014 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Wales
3-1
Iceland
