MX23RW : Monday, November 25 18:14:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
4 - 3
Crusaders

Allen (5', 55'), Cushley (15'), McGuckin (65')
(87'), Gordon (90+1'), Cushley (90+3'), (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Heatley (27'), Clarke (45+2'), Lowry (57')
Larmour (64'), (86')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carrick 0-1 Larne
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 3-0 Ballymena
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawCrusaders
21.23% (-0.514 -0.51) 23.17% (0.124 0.12) 55.6% (0.38399999999999 0.38)
Both teams to score 53.06% (-1.132 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.13% (-1.152 -1.15)46.87% (1.145 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88% (-1.083 -1.08)69.12% (1.077 1.08)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.69% (-1.147 -1.15)36.3% (1.139 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.91% (-1.179 -1.18)73.09% (1.173 1.17)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3% (-0.277 -0.28)16.69% (0.272 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.42% (-0.495 -0.5)46.58% (0.489 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 21.23%
    Crusaders 55.6%
    Draw 23.16%
Carrick RangersDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 6.14% (0.106 0.11)
2-1 @ 5.57% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-0 @ 3.11% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.88% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.05% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 21.23%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.286 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.16%
0-1 @ 10.85% (0.42 0.42)
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.71% (0.288 0.29)
1-3 @ 5.87% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 5.79% (0.119 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-4 @ 2.63% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.59% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-5 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 55.6%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
2-1
Carrick
Lecky (59'), Kennedy (90+6')
Lecky (63' og.)
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
0-0
Carrick

O'Rourke (28'), Heatley (56'), Caddell (58')

Cushley (51'), Gordon (57'), Cherry (61')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
0-2
Crusaders

Anderson (51'), Kelly (53'), Cushley (55'), Surgenor (58'), Ervin (86')
Heatley (69'), Kennedy (75')
(29')
Apr 6, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
1-1
Crusaders
Friel (64')
Cherry (67'), Friel (90')
Mar 9, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
1-3
Crusaders
Kelly (10')
Smith (39'), Cherry (63')
McGonigle (12'), Hegarty (48'), Ruddy (56')
Hegarty (25'), Heatley (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield17112433151835
2CliftonvilleCliftonville1793526161030
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon189272421329
4PortadownPortadown178452417728
5GlentoranGlentoran188371916327
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
7CrusadersCrusaders168262018226
8ColeraineColeraine187472924525
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick1743101829-1115
11GlenavonGlenavon183691125-1415
12Loughgall1832131846-2811


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!