Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.