Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Linfield.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crusaders 2-1 Coleraine
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Linfield 1-3 Glentoran
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
20
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Crusaders | Draw | Linfield |
30.68% ( 6.46) | 24.69% ( 0.79) | 44.63% ( -7.25) |
Both teams to score 57.07% ( 2.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.2% ( 1.02) | 45.8% ( -1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.88% ( 0.96) | 68.12% ( -0.96) |
Crusaders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.88% ( 5.41) | 28.13% ( -5.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.2% ( 6.38) | 63.8% ( -6.37) |
Linfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.4% ( -2.56) | 20.6% ( 2.57) |