Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 37.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dungannon Swifts in this match.