MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 22:01:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 2
Apr 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
3 - 2
Ballymena

Fitzpatrick (20', 48'), Malone (74' pen.)
Rogers (52'), Baird (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Place (53' pen.), Farquhar (90+3')
Place (43')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glenavon 1-1 Dungannon
Friday, April 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 1-0 Ballymena
Friday, April 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawBallymena United
51.99% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.29% (0.0040000000000013 0) 23.71% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (-0.012 -0.01)48.94% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)71.03% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)18.8% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.77% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)50.22% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.86%35.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.89%
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 51.99%
    Ballymena United 23.71%
    Draw 24.29%
GlenavonDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 11.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 51.99%
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 6.91% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 23.71%

How you voted: Glenavon vs Ballymena

Glenavon
100%
Draw
0.0%
Ballymena United
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2023 7.45pm
Ballymena
0-1
Glenavon

Wilson (72'), Tipton (90'), Tipton (90+2')
Wilson (86'), McCullough (90')
Fitzpatrick (18')
Garrett (54'), Doran (66'), Rogers (83'), Fitzpatrick (90+4'), Campbell (90')
Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm
Glenavon
3-2
Ballymena
Fitzpatrick (50'), Wallace (58'), Malone (67' pen.)
Gibson (23'), Keeley (61')
(67')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
2-2
Glenavon
McElroy (4'), Gibson (32')
McCullough (10'), Redman (33')
Campbell (45+1'), Prendergast (90+4')
Birney (31')
Bradley (55'), Doyle (60')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Glenavon
3-1
Ballymena
Birney (44'), Campbell (73', 75')
Snoddy (24'), Birney (28'), Clarke (88'), Garrett (90+2')
Wallace (55')
Nelson (25')
Kelly (40'), Millar (43'), Redman (65'), Nelson (70')
Millar (90+2'), Millar (90+2')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
3-3
Glenavon
Place (12'), Keeley (45+1'), McElroy (80')
Strain (45'), Keeley (56'), Redman (57'), Millar (70'), Place (90+2')
Keeley (56')
Fitzpatrick (7'), Campbell (46'), McCloskey (69')
Birney (40'), Wallace (45'), Fitzpatrick (56')
Wallace (56'), Garrett (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913


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