Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 88.45%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 2.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.81%) and 4-0 (11.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.03%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 0-1 (1.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.