Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.69%) and 0-1 (5.45%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leeds United Under-21s in this match.