Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 38.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.38%) and 3-1 (4.76%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s would win this match.