Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 57.12%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 23.22% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.97%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Southampton Under-21s in this match.