MX23RW : Monday, December 23 00:23:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Apr 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
 

Derby U21s
1 - 4
Newcastle U21s

Robinson (72')
Bates (17'), Oduroh (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Miley (30'), Diallo (44' pen.), Miley (57'), Ndiweni (63')
Brown (51'), Murphy (76')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Newcastle United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 3-0 Derby U21s
Friday, April 14 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: Newcastle U21s 4-3 Norwich U21s
Monday, April 17 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 75.18%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 10.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 2-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
10.79% (0.271 0.27) 14.03% (0.209 0.21) 75.18% (-0.47699999999999 -0.48)
Both teams to score 61.93% (0.14 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.93% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)24.07% (0.267 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.31% (-0.351 -0.35)43.69% (0.354 0.35)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.47% (0.239 0.24)34.53% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.75% (0.252 0.25)71.25% (-0.25 -0.25)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.6% (-0.128 -0.13)5.4% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.84% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)21.16% (0.388 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 10.79%
    Newcastle United Under-21s 75.18%
    Draw 14.03%
Derby County Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 3.08% (0.068 0.07)
1-0 @ 1.98% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.09% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 1.05% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2%
Total : 10.79%
1-1 @ 5.79% (0.092 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-0 @ 1.86% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 14.03%
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 8.22% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.73% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-4 @ 6% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-4 @ 5.64% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
0-1 @ 5.44% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 4.37% (0.024 0.02)
1-5 @ 3.5% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-5 @ 3.29% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-4 @ 3.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.86% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-6 @ 1.7% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-6 @ 1.6% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-4 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
2-6 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 75.18%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2022 7pm
Newcastle U21s
4-0
Derby U21s
Stephenson (8', 58'), Crossley (17', 64')

Nunn (27')
rhs 2.0
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