Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.