Derby U21s1 - 5Boro U21s
Hawkins (46'), Brailsford (77')
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, March 20 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 54.49%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.68%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
25.27% ( -10.47) | 20.24% ( -1.41) | 54.49% ( 11.89) |
| Both teams to score 68.93% ( -1.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
