Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-23s win with a probability of 62.26%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 19.04% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.45%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 1-2 (4.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-23s would win this match.