Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
40.98% ( 2.83) | 24.67% ( -0.02) | 34.35% ( -2.82) |
Both teams to score 58.58% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.55% ( -0.27) | 44.44% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.18% ( -0.26) | 66.82% ( 0.26) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.29% ( 1.29) | 21.71% ( -1.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.14% ( 1.93) | 54.86% ( -1.93) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.82% ( -1.69) | 25.18% ( 1.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.09% ( -2.38) | 59.91% ( 2.38) |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.54) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.98% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.39) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.47) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.35) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
6 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
7 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
11 | Brentford | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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