Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa |
42.54% ( 0.02) | 26.29% ( 0) | 31.18% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.09% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.62% ( -0.02) | 52.38% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.94% ( -0.01) | 74.06% ( 0.02) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% | 24.4% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.18% ( -0) | 58.82% ( 0) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.91% ( -0.02) | 31.09% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.59% ( -0.02) | 67.41% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.54% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 54 | 21 | 33 | 53 |
2 | Arsenal | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 47 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 44 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
6 | Chelsea | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 40 |
7 | Bournemouth | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 40 |
8 | Aston Villa | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 27 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 23 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 16 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 16 |
20 | Southampton | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 53 | -37 | 6 |
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