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Premier League | Gameweek 35
May 6, 2023 at 3pm UK
Molineux
Aston Villa logo

Wolves
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Gomes (9')
Costa (39'), Gomes (82'), Semedo (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mings (39'), Watkins (63'), Luiz (75')

The Match

Match Report

Wolverhampton Wanderers defeat West Midlands rivals Aston Villa 1-0 at Molineux.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 6-0 Wolves
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawAston Villa
42.54% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 26.29% (0.0040000000000013 0) 31.18% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.09% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.62% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)52.38% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.94% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)74.06% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6%24.4% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.18% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)58.82% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)31.09% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)67.41% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 42.54%
    Aston Villa 31.18%
    Draw 26.28%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 42.54%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 31.18%

How you voted: Wolves vs Aston Villa

Wolverhampton Wanderers
27.5%
Draw
22.5%
Aston Villa
50.0%
178
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 8pm
gameweek 19
Aston Villa
1-1
Wolves
Ings (78')
Podence (12')
Hee-chan (36')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
gameweek 31
Wolves
2-1
Aston Villa
Castro (7'), Young (36' og.)
Coady (25'), Castro (66'), Marcal (90+2'), Neto (90+3')
Watkins (86' pen.)
McGinn (38'), Young (90+3'), Konsa (90+4')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
gameweek 8
Aston Villa
2-3
Wolves
Ings (48'), McGinn (68')
Mings (61'), Watkins (81')
Saiss (80'), Coady (85'), Neves (90+5')
Neves (52'), Dendoncker (88')
Mar 6, 2021 5.30pm
Dec 12, 2020 12.30pm
gameweek 12
Wolves
0-1
Aston Villa

Traore (43'), Dendoncker (77'), Moutinho (83')
Moutinho (90+5')
El Ghazi (90+4' pen.)
Luiz (14'), Cash (29'), McGinn (30'), Targett (81'), Konsa (82'), Grealish (88')
Luiz (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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