Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa |
34.65% ( 2.1) | 24.86% ( -0.15) | 40.49% ( -1.95) |
Both teams to score 57.95% ( 1.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.71% ( 1.23) | 45.28% ( -1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.37% ( 1.17) | 67.62% ( -1.17) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.59% ( 1.85) | 25.41% ( -1.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.78% ( 2.47) | 60.22% ( -2.48) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% ( -0.41) | 22.31% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.22% ( -0.61) | 55.77% ( 0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.65% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.57) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.51) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
6 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
7 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
11 | Brentford | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
> Premier League Full Table |