Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
38.29% ( 0.06) | 26.36% ( 0) | 35.35% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 52.96% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.24% ( -0.01) | 51.75% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.47% ( -0.01) | 73.52% ( 0.01) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% ( 0.03) | 26.36% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.49% ( 0.04) | 61.51% ( -0.04) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.93% ( -0.05) | 28.07% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.26% ( -0.06) | 63.74% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.29% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 46 |
2 | Arsenal | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 40 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 40 |
4 | Chelsea | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 36 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 34 |
7 | Bournemouth | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 33 |
8 | Aston Villa | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 32 |
9 | Fulham | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Brentford | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 27 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 24 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 23 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 21 |
16 | Everton | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 44 | -32 | 6 |
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