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Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Brentford
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Toney (65')
Norgaard (23'), Schade (55'), Janelt (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Luiz (87')
Young (29'), Luiz (70')

The Match

Match Report

Brentford and Aston Villa both suffer blows in their respective European ambitions with a 1-1 stalemate at the Brentford Community Stadium this afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 2-0 Brentford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-0 Newcastle
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawAston Villa
38.29% (0.064 0.06) 26.36% (0.0019999999999989 0) 35.35% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.96% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.24% (-0.012 -0.01)51.75% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)73.52% (0.012 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)26.36% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49% (0.038999999999994 0.04)61.51% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)28.07% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.26% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)63.74% (0.058 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 38.29%
    Aston Villa 35.35%
    Draw 26.35%
BrentfordDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 38.29%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 35.35%

How you voted: Brentford vs Aston Villa

Brentford
25.3%
Draw
18.5%
Aston Villa
56.2%
233
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
gameweek 13
Aston Villa
4-0
Brentford
Bailey (2'), Ings (7', 14' pen.), Watkins (59')
Ings (35')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
gameweek 21
Brentford
2-1
Aston Villa
Wissa (42'), Roerslev (83')
Onyeka (31'), Toney (77')
Ings (16')
Ramsey (30'), McGinn (89')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
gameweek 3
Aston Villa
1-1
Brentford
Buendia (13')
El Ghazi (50'), Cash (61'), Ings (72')
Toney (7')
Toney (52'), Norgaard (60'), Janelt (75')
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 32
Brentford
1-0
Aston Villa
Maupay (91')

Hutton (40')
Aug 22, 2018 7.45pm
gameweek 4
Aston Villa
2-2
Brentford
Kodjia (39', 90')
Kodjia (16'), Chester (67'), Grealish (68')
Maupay (23', 82')
Watkins (33'), Benrahma (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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