Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa4 - 0Brentford
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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fulham 3-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Thursday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.30pm in Premier League
We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Brentford
Brentford have drawn three of their five away Premier League matches this season, while Villa have won just twice in front of their own fans in the league this term. There should be a reaction from the hosts following Gerrard's departure, but Brentford are strong enough to claim a point here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Brentford |
45.15% ( -0.03) | 26.26% ( 0.02) | 28.58% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.82% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.6% ( -0.08) | 53.4% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.07% ( -0.07) | 74.93% ( 0.07) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( -0.05) | 23.57% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.36% ( -0.07) | 57.64% ( 0.07) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.49% ( -0.03) | 33.51% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.85% ( -0.04) | 70.15% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Aston Villa 45.15%
Brentford 28.58%
Draw 26.26%
| Aston Villa | Draw | Brentford |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.25% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 45.15% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.58% |
How you voted: Aston Villa vs Brentford
Aston Villa
36.8%Draw
19.4%Brentford
43.8%201
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
Form Guide
