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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
London Stadium
Aston Villa logo

West Ham
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Benrahma (26' pen.)
Paqueta (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watkins (17')

The Match

Match Report

West Ham United move out of the Premier League relegation zone thanks to a 1-1 draw with Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between West Ham United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larnaca 0-2 West Ham
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawAston Villa
51.77% (0.125 0.13) 25.3% (0.093 0.09) 22.92% (-0.223 -0.22)
Both teams to score 48.74% (-0.525 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.32% (-0.563 -0.56)53.68% (0.557 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.83% (-0.478 -0.48)75.17% (0.47200000000001 0.47)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)20.74% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62% (-0.276 -0.28)53.37% (0.27 0.27)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (-0.527 -0.53)38.49% (0.521 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (-0.507 -0.51)75.24% (0.5 0.5)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 51.77%
    Aston Villa 22.92%
    Draw 25.3%
West Ham UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 12.56% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 9.88% (0.112 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.18% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 51.77%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.173 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.92%

How you voted: West Ham vs Aston Villa

West Ham United
54.0%
Draw
20.7%
Aston Villa
25.3%
150
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Oct 31, 2021 4.30pm
Aston Villa
1-4
West Ham
Watkins (34')
McGinn (79')
Konsa (50')
Johnson (7'), Rice (38'), Fornals (80'), Bowen (84')
Fornals (79'), Bowen (79')
Feb 3, 2021 8.15pm
Aston Villa
1-3
West Ham
Watkins (81')
Luiz (70')
Soucek (51'), Lingard (56', 83')
Cresswell (65')
Nov 30, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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