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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
London Stadium
Aston Villa logo

West Ham
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Benrahma (26' pen.)
Paqueta (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watkins (17')

The Match

Match Report

West Ham United move out of the Premier League relegation zone thanks to a 1-1 draw with Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between West Ham United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larnaca 0-2 West Ham
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawAston Villa
51.77% (0.125 0.13) 25.3% (0.093 0.09) 22.92% (-0.223 -0.22)
Both teams to score 48.74% (-0.525 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.32% (-0.563 -0.56)53.68% (0.557 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.83% (-0.478 -0.48)75.17% (0.47200000000001 0.47)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)20.74% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62% (-0.276 -0.28)53.37% (0.27 0.27)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (-0.527 -0.53)38.49% (0.521 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (-0.507 -0.51)75.24% (0.5 0.5)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 51.77%
    Aston Villa 22.92%
    Draw 25.3%
West Ham UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 12.56% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 9.88% (0.112 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.18% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 51.77%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.173 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.92%

How you voted: West Ham vs Aston Villa

West Ham United
54.0%
Draw
20.7%
Aston Villa
25.3%
150
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Oct 31, 2021 4.30pm
Aston Villa
1-4
West Ham
Watkins (34')
McGinn (79')
Konsa (50')
Johnson (7'), Rice (38'), Fornals (80'), Bowen (84')
Fornals (79'), Bowen (79')
Feb 3, 2021 8.15pm
Aston Villa
1-3
West Ham
Watkins (81')
Luiz (70')
Soucek (51'), Lingard (56', 83')
Cresswell (65')
Nov 30, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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