Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Crystal Palace |
42.09% ( -0.04) | 27.25% ( -0.02) | 30.65% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 48.95% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.69% ( 0.1) | 56.3% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.66% ( 0.08) | 77.33% ( -0.09) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.59% ( 0.02) | 26.41% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.43% ( 0.03) | 61.57% ( -0.04) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.51% ( 0.1) | 33.48% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.88% ( 0.11) | 70.11% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Crystal Palace |
1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 42.09% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 30.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 46 |
2 | Arsenal | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 40 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 40 |
4 | Chelsea | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 36 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 34 |
7 | Bournemouth | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 33 |
8 | Aston Villa | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 32 |
9 | Fulham | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Brentford | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 27 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 24 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 23 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 21 |
16 | Everton | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 44 | -32 | 6 |
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