Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Leeds United |
45.97% ( -0.88) | 25.34% ( 0.12) | 28.69% ( 0.76) |
Both teams to score 53.76% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.41% ( -0.05) | 49.6% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.38% ( -0.04) | 71.62% ( 0.05) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.42% ( -0.41) | 21.58% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.33% ( -0.63) | 54.67% ( 0.64) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.56% ( 0.55) | 31.44% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.18% ( 0.63) | 67.82% ( -0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.96% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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