Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
61.75% ( 0.2) | 21.31% ( -0.07) | 16.94% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.52% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.83% ( 0.09) | 45.17% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.48% ( 0.08) | 67.52% ( -0.08) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.91% ( 0.09) | 14.09% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.29% ( 0.18) | 41.71% ( -0.18) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.97% ( -0.11) | 40.03% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.32% ( -0.1) | 76.68% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 61.75% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.31% | 0-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 16.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 46 |
2 | Arsenal | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 40 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 40 |
4 | Chelsea | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 36 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 34 |
7 | Bournemouth | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 33 |
8 | Aston Villa | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 32 |
9 | Fulham | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Brentford | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 27 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 24 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 23 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 21 |
16 | Everton | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 44 | -32 | 6 |
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